Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 103011.998204 108517.024925 114014.387724 119912.418307 126057.459651 132267.465602 139013.740579
2025-08-24 94665.689419 103149.639007 111850.805944 121430.820778 131671.119020 142277.979028 154083.760135
2025-08-31 87654.926723 98120.903831 109084.604197 121403.614306 134836.760470 149017.414519 165095.720023
2025-09-07 83331.045292 95394.912439 108255.882263 122949.795166 139234.615363 156691.123897 176779.340239
2025-09-14 79507.744331 92831.385702 107255.249069 123975.882746 142768.525634 163180.207229 186968.323989
2025-09-21 75699.680240 89993.916471 105686.638836 124118.985353 145098.532678 168155.480547 195330.852793
2025-09-28 72387.828639 87501.502114 104308.873506 124289.388501 147293.622032 172846.639555 203271.050040
2025-10-05 70478.659203 86484.140111 104490.784344 126128.856749 151297.640832 179520.555378 213426.281294
2025-10-12 68595.159390 85378.343347 104467.505562 127639.585895 154851.565514 185635.176605 222925.607540
2025-10-19 66492.689765 83904.570489 103918.244541 128449.061634 157520.478945 190683.477127 231173.206399
2025-10-26 64227.616998 82134.439356 102928.040106 128654.299559 159410.829548 194777.961738 238283.917608
2025-11-02 62302.825448 80691.806026 102253.310111 129166.811295 161609.679878 199197.365396 245760.724219
2025-11-09 60260.785926 79053.075650 101303.306453 129323.776594 163380.603987 203134.069830 252724.273761
2025-11-16 59016.084377 78349.416686 101448.547772 130777.742506 166697.243746 208913.837110 261913.543275
2025-11-23 57083.837934 76718.241311 100395.782558 130712.184926 168128.820390 212412.116597 268365.816877
2025-11-30 56109.415029 76251.382036 100745.880788 132346.040751 171618.979839 218389.958805 277828.178555
2025-12-07 54934.026170 75483.125320 100681.744142 133433.792860 174417.802531 223526.336050 286288.183555
2025-12-14 53384.393044 74182.228089 99902.301307 133585.314631 176025.968728 227193.810163 292958.225094
2025-12-21 51930.169713 72957.637055 99176.832475 133766.164598 177640.872832 230852.955778 299618.228284
2025-12-28 51350.867297 72852.007635 99858.814467 135719.293836 181475.478803 237260.665267 309696.892265
2026-01-04 50649.864801 72558.892609 100278.693333 137323.152719 184865.937262 243128.693678 319138.370659
2026-01-11 49661.846879 71852.158486 100136.349628 138182.445709 187299.332206 247805.140878 327115.868585
2026-01-18 48447.139086 70805.864723 99519.866478 138400.305196 188894.127592 251423.266235 333777.572669